Sunday, February 24, 2019

Oscar Thoughts / Predictions 2019

  Oscars 2019 time! This is definitely the most last minute of these as we're less than an hour away... came on faster and earlier than ever it seems! Various ruckus as well. Perhaps due to that it's some of the least number of films that I've seen but I've caught some glimpses and get the ideas.. of courses. With time of the essence here we go for the major ones of who's nominated, who will probably win, and who will win:

Best Picture
“Black Panther”
“BlacKkKlansman”
“Bohemian Rhapsody”
“The Favourite”
“Green Book”
“Roma”
“A Star Is Born”
“Vice”

Who Will Win: I'm seeing this , as with many below, as a clear cut Roma win. In general it's going to come down to Roma vs  maybe Green Book in most categories imo.  Maybe seeking a more diverse win something like Black Kkklansmen.
Who I Want To Win:  I would be happy with the redemption story of Black Kkklansmen for Lee or Black Panther for the MCU..and some of the coolest stuff! Bohemian Rhapsody and A Star Is Born were also wonderful as well. 

Lead Actor
Christian Bale, “Vice”
Bradley Cooper, “A Star Is Born”
Willem Dafoe, “At Eternity’s Gate”
Rami Malek, “Bohemian Rhapsody”
Viggo Mortensen, “Green Book”
Who Will Win: Probably Bale vs Mortensen as the top contender with Malek not far behind. A very tight race from between all. I could see A Star Is Born trying to go for a sweep too which would be cooper.
Who I Want To Win: As a Nolan and Queen fan... Bale or Malek.

Lead Actress
Yalitza Aparicio, “Roma”
Glenn Close, “The Wife”
Olivia Colman, “The Favourite”
Lady Gaga, “A Star Is Born”
Melissa McCarthy, “Can You Ever Forgive Me?”
Who Will Win: A tight race as well but if Roma will sweep then Aparicio but Gaga honestly has odds for similar sentiments.. Colman as wel.
Who I Want To Win: LADY GAGA PLEASE AS A FAN OF HER MUSIC FOR YEARS!!

Supporting Actor
Mahershala Ali, “Green Book”
Adam Driver, “BlacKkKlansman”
Sam Elliott, “A Star Is Born”
Richard E. Grant, “Can You Ever Forgive Me?”
Sam Rockwell, “Vice”
Who Will Win: A very, very tight category. I would have to give a lean to Ali, Elliot, or Grant here.
Who I Want To Win: Ali or Elliot would be find indeed.. or mr.Kylo Ren Adam Driver!!

Supporting Actress
Amy Adams, “Vice”
Marina de Tavira, “Roma”
Regina King, “If Beale Street Could Talk”
Emma Stone, “The Favourite”
Rachel Weisz, “The Favourite”
Who Will Win: Credits to Tavira for Roma but also look at all those Favourites. Perhaps King as well.
Who I Want To Win: I have no comment realy as I haven't seen these. Uh Amy Adams is always great I imagine?

Director
Spike Lee, “BlacKkKlansman”
Pawel Pawlikowski, “Cold War”
Yorgos Lanthimos, “The Favourite”
Alfonso Cuarón, “Roma”
Adam McKay, “Vice”
Who Will Win: Alfonso Cuaron has this on lock but McKay poses a threat..maybe Lee.
Who I Want To Win: Spike Lee would be really cool but would happy with McKay

Adapted Screenplay
“The Ballad of Buster Scruggs,” Joel Coen , Ethan Coen
“BlacKkKlansman,” Charlie Wachtel, David Rabinowitz, Kevin Willmott, Spike Lee
“Can You Ever Forgive Me?,” Nicole Holofcener and Jeff Whitty
“If Beale Street Could Talk,” Barry Jenkins
“A Star Is Born,” Eric Roth, Bradley Cooper, Will Fetters
Who Will Win: I'm thinking Lee can get it here for sure with maybe Can You Ever Forgive or A Star Is Born.
Who I Want To Win: BUSTER SCRUGGS! It was great!

Original Screenplay
The Favourite,” Deborah Davis, Tony McNamara
“First Reformed,” Paul Schrader
“Green Book,” Nick Vallelonga, Brian Currie, Peter Farrelly
“Roma,” Alfonso Cuarón
“Vice,” Adam McKay
Who Will Win: Roma vs Vice vs Green Book vs The Favorite equally!
Who I Want To Win: Hmm Vice or Green Book

Cinematography
“Cold War,” Lukasz Zal
“The Favourite,” Robbie Ryan
“Never Look Away,” Caleb Deschanel
“Roma,” Alfonso Cuarón
“A Star Is Born,” Matthew Libatique
Who Will Win: Roma a clear lock but perhaps Born , War, or the Favorite.
Who I Want To Win: Truly Roma earns it here

Film Editing
“BlacKkKlansman,” Barry Alexander Brown
“Bohemian Rhapsody,” John Ottman
“Green Book,” Patrick J. Don Vito
“The Favourite,” Yorgos Mavropsaridis
“Vice,” Hank Corwin
Who Will Win:  Vice I'd say
Who I Want To Win: Perhaps Kkklansmen? Vice wouldn't be bad

Sound Editing
“Black Panther,” Benjamin A. Burtt, Steve Boeddeker
“Bohemian Rhapsody,” John Warhurst
“First Man,” Ai-Ling Lee, Mildred Iatrou Morgan
“A Quiet Place,” Ethan Van der Ryn, Erik Aadahl
“Roma,” Sergio Diaz, Skip Lievsay
Who Will Win: A great category! I can see Bohemian or Black Panther having chances but anything really.
Who I Want To Win:  A Quiet Place please, literally its schtick!

Sound Mixing
“Black Panther”
“Bohemian Rhapsody”
“First Man”
“Roma”
“A Star Is Born”
Who Will Win: Similar thoughts here but perhaps Roma or First Man more odds here.
Who I Want To Win: First Man, praise Chazelle!

Production Design
“Black Panther,” Hannah Beachler
“First Man,” Nathan Crowley, Kathy Lucas
“The Favourite,” Fiona Crombie, Alice Felton
“Mary Poppins Returns,” John Myhre, Gordon Sim
“Roma,” Eugenio Caballero, Bárbara Enrı́quez
Who Will Win: Roma..this is its turf. Perhaps the blockbuster Panther or Poppins?
Who I Want To Win: Black Panther! These kind of things

Original Score
“BlacKkKlansman,” Terence Blanchard
“Black Panther,” Ludwig Goransson
“If Beale Street Could Talk,” Nicholas Britell
“Isle of Dogs,” Alexandre Desplat
“Mary Poppins Returns,” Marc Shaiman, Scott Wittman
Who Will Win: Something good Black Panther or Poppins etc
Who I Want To Win: Isle Of Dogs, give it something! But great category as a whole

Original Song
All The Stars” from “Black Panther” by Kendrick Lamar, SZA
“I’ll Fight” from “RBG” by Diane Warren, Jennifer Hudson
“The Place Where Lost Things Go” from “Mary Poppins Returns” by Marc Shaiman, Scott Wittman
“Shallow” from “A Star Is Born” by Lady Gaga, Mark Ronson, Anthony Rossomando, Andrew Wyatt and Benjamin Rice
“When A Cowboy Trades His Spurs For Wings” from “The Ballad of Buster Scruggs” by David Rawlings and Gillian Welch
Who Will Win: Shallow Is a lock here I'd say. But maybe All The Stars
Who I Want To Win: All The Stars, transcendental go Kendrick please! 

Makeup And Hair
Border
Mary Queen Of Scots
vice
Who Will Win: Mary Queen of Scots or Vice I mean cmon look at Bale
Who I Want To Win: Vice, Bale duh!

Costume Design
“The Ballad of Buster Scruggs,” Mary Zophres
“Black Panther,” Ruth E. Carter
“The Favourite,” Sandy Powell
“Mary Poppins Returns,” Sandy Powell
“Mary Queen of Scots,” Alexandra Byrne
Who Will Win: Fancy Mary Poppins / Queen kind of stuff but perhaps Black Panther
Who I Want To Win: Black Panther or Buster Scruggs, true good movies to me

Visual Effects
“Avengers: Infinity War”
“Christopher Robin”
“First Man”
“Ready Player One”
“Solo: A Star Wars Story”
Who Will Win: Hard to say but seems like something Ready Player One or First Man could steal..or honestly the true best film Avengers.
Who I Want To Win: INFINITY WAR TRUE QUALITY!! Solo would be cool but no way at all

Animated Feature
“Incredibles 2,” Brad Bird
“Isle of Dogs,” Wes Anderson
“Mirai,” Mamoru Hosoda
“Ralph Breaks the Internet,” Rich Moore, Phil Johnston
“Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse,” Bob Persichetti, Peter Ramsey, Rodney Rothman
Who Will Win: What a tight race and category! Not sure .. Pixar and Disney are locks but much moreso Incredibles 2 than Ralph, usually. However Spider-Verse got a ton of love in the under circuit so there's a chance.
Who I Want To Win: Literally anything! Perhaps Spider-Verse honestly because I'm feeling the fan-love. Mirai would be cool too praise Hosada!
Enjoy and we'll see how well I did!

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