Oscar Thoughts / Predictions 2023

 Oscar Thoughts / Predictions 2023

  Time for the Academy Awards again! It's kind of obvious this year for good reasons ;0 

Best Picture

• “All Quiet on the Western Front”
• “Avatar: The Way of Water”
• “The Banshees of Inisherin”
• “Elvis”
• “Everything Everywhere All at Once”
• “The Fabelmans”
• “Tár”
• “Top Gun: Maverick”
• “Triangle of Sadness”
• “Women Talking”

Who Will Win:   Everything Everywhere All At Once is fantastically sweeping all the pre-circuit and a review darling.. of course it has the best odds its pure math! Henceforth called "EEAO" .. I can maybe see its close competition from some awards circuits as  either Banshees or All Quiet On Western Front 
  

Who Should Win: EEAO! It's a Birdman type year where I completely agree 

Best Director

•  Martin McDonagh, “The Banshees of Inisherin”
• Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert, “Everything Everywhere All at Once”
• Steven Spielberg, “The Fabelmans”
• Todd Field, “Tár”
• Ruben Ostlund, “Triangle of Sadness”

Who Will Win:  EEAO duo could carry the best picture trend but so could its competitors in McDonagh; or they could go old school for what's maybe fourth likely for rest in Spielberg.

Who Should Win:  "EEAO / The Daniels"! Not a bad pick on this board though

Best Actor

• Austin Butler, “Elvis”
• Colin Farrell, “The Banshees of Inisherin”
• Brendan Fraser, “The Whale”
• Paul Mescal, “Aftersun”
• Bill Nighy, “Living”

Who Will Win: It's a tough lock between Butler and Fraser in the awards circuit but it seems Butler has had the slight edge. However Fraser has that "old school redemption story.

Who Should Win: Fraser it's his time! Wouldn't be upset with Farrell or Butler however. 

Best Actress

•  Cate Blanchett, “Tár”
• Ana de Armas, “Blonde”
• Andrea Riseborough, “To Leslie”
• Michelle Williams, “The Fabelmans”
• Michelle Yeoh, “Everything Everywhere All at Once”

Who Will Win: It's almost like a mirror of the Actor category with Yeoh as most wins but also with "old school comeback" yet Blanchett has won many as well. About equal

Who Should Win:  Blanchett without a doubt intense performance. But anyone here isn't wrong aside maybe the potentially rigged Riseborough nomination shenangins. 

Best Supporting Actor

•  Brendan Gleeson, “The Banshees of Inisherin”
• Brian Tyree Henry, “Causeway”
• Judd Hirsch, “The Fabelmans”
• Barry Keoghan, “The Banshees of Inisherin”
• Ke Huy Quan, “Everything Everywhere All at Once”

Who Will Win: The ultimate "best" , "most wins", and "old school comeback" in Quan. It would be shocking if it wasn't him but there's lots of Banshees buzz overall and if it were to be one other place it could be Gleeson here.

Who Should Win: Quan or Gleeson would not be wrong!

Best Supporting Actress

• Angela Bassett, “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever”
• Hong Chau, “The Whale”
• Kerry Condon, “The Banshees of Inisherin”
• Jamie Lee Curtis, “Everything Everywhere All at Once”
• Stephanie Hsu, “Everything Everywhere All at Once”

Who Will Win: It's a solid little performance and an end of an era but for some reason Bassett's been sweeping. Condon or Chau have odds for same reasons. EEAO elsewhere makes the rest unlikely but Curtis has gotten one.

Who Should Win: Personally I'd go Chau even if not all the way in first but Hsu or Condon were great too.

Best Original Screenplay

• “The Banshees of Inisherin”
• “Everything Everywhere All at Once”
• “The Fabelmans”
• “Tár”
• “Triangle of Sadness”

Who Will Win: EEAO frontrunners could and especially should be over here, truly original

Who Should Win: While EEAO is great  I have some appreciation for Banshees. 

Best Adapted Screenplay

•  All Quiet on the Western Front”
• “Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery”
• “Living”
• “Top Gun: Maverick”
• “Women Talking”

Who Will Win:  This seems like a case with a token frontrunner All Quiet win but could see the same reasons for Women Talking or even Glass Onion too.

Who Should Win:  As Rian Johnson is one of the best creatives today would love Glass Onion too even if odds are low

Best Visual Effects

•  “All Quiet on the Western Front,” 
• “Avatar: The Way of Water,” 
• “The Batman,” 
• “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever,” 
• “Top Gun: Maverick,” 

Who Will Win: Was there ever a more obvious choice for Avatar 2? Or Top Gun 2? "Blockbuster" slot

Who Should Win: Even if it won't Batman would be cool. But Avatar objectively. 

Best Animated Feature

•  “Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio”
• “Marcel the Shell With Shoes On”
• “Puss in Boots: The Last Wish”
• “The Sea Beast”
• “Turning Red”

Who Will Win: Pinocchio is the frontrunner clearly bravo Del Toro. But, often Disney / Pixar wins would mean Turning Red  even if it's perhaps some of the least deserving.

Who Should Win:  Puss In Boots 2 SHOULD but won't! Dreamworks best in years. Pinocchio is more than fair too a KevViews high rated. 

Best Costume Design

•  “Babylon”
• “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever”
• “Elvis”
• “Everything Everywhere All at Once”
• “Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris”

Who Will Win:  Elvis could pull in "overall-"ness but EEAO or Wakanda Forever are great too.

Who Should Win:  EEAO or Wakanda Forever! Vibrant..Bablyon ain't bad either and deserved some of these more technical awards. 

Best Score

• “All Quiet on the Western Front”
• “Babylon”
• “The Banshees of Inisherin”
• “Everything Everywhere All at Once”
• “The Fabelmans”

Who Will Win:  This seems like a place All Quiet or Banshees can get more especially for their old-school sensibilities. But the same reason too for Fablemans (John Williams!). Hurwitz has done well before too for Babylon

Who Should Win:  Babylon clearly although Fablemans wouldn't be bad. 

We'll see what happens!